Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 3.132653 3.487339 3.871421 4.319153 4.827895 5.389297 6.057506
2025-03-09 2.572322 3.038344 3.578780 4.255270 5.084174 6.072789 7.350187
2025-03-16 2.215627 2.733268 3.364777 4.198785 5.281474 6.653428 8.545854
2025-03-23 2.048309 2.620252 3.348385 4.354947 5.728543 7.564133 10.248092
2025-03-30 1.858466 2.448769 3.226989 4.344318 5.934301 8.157201 11.575082
2025-04-06 1.696234 2.292795 3.103450 4.306601 6.083347 8.669733 12.831887
2025-04-13 1.502691 2.073708 2.869047 4.082085 5.929314 8.710744 13.362785
2025-04-20 1.405942 1.981262 2.802925 4.091533 6.116961 9.275795 14.777618
2025-04-27 1.342009 1.929641 2.789427 4.174867 6.421132 10.048282 16.627082
2025-05-04 1.284108 1.881312 2.775058 4.252404 6.719176 10.836972 18.604008
2025-05-11 1.224637 1.825320 2.743169 4.296657 6.962826 11.554978 20.545675
2025-05-18 1.167777 1.768691 2.704919 4.325136 7.179113 12.243740 22.522016
2025-05-25 1.083299 1.664128 2.584778 4.209897 7.140029 12.481870 23.683258
2025-06-01 1.019903 1.589248 2.507537 4.161434 7.215371 12.939562 25.357538
2025-06-08 0.961663 1.518768 2.432205 4.109101 7.276803 13.374819 27.047227
2025-06-15 0.944771 1.515715 2.470059 4.261975 7.739629 14.651340 30.777326
2025-06-22 0.901590 1.465042 2.421789 4.251724 7.883237 15.294763 33.174514
2025-06-29 0.857677 1.410259 2.362330 4.214958 7.969118 15.825054 35.389058
2025-07-06 0.789446 1.309060 2.213707 3.995942 7.662254 15.474734 35.387320
2025-07-13 0.759923 1.274670 2.183694 4.005161 7.830709 16.189805 38.196793
2025-07-20 0.742477 1.260770 2.190096 4.086460 8.159566 17.305985 42.256663
2025-07-27 0.725191 1.246036 2.193755 4.162098 8.483181 18.450075 46.613135
2025-08-03 0.704693 1.224125 2.182254 4.205264 8.738293 19.462024 50.797083